Link Search Menu Expand Document

The average error in the NHC forecasted position of a hurricane three days in the future has shrunk to a third of what it was in 1990--a staggering accomplishment. However, as you may have gathered, forecasts of future storm *strength* have proved more difficult to improve.

"Epsilon and Zeta", by Randall Munroe, licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 License

Alt Text

The average error in the NHC forecasted position of a hurricane three days in the future has shrunk to a third of what it was in 1990--a staggering accomplishment. However, as you may have gathered, forecasts of future storm strength have proved more difficult to improve.


Page last modified: 10/26/2012.